AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 15 · Final

Kansas City Chiefs at Cleveland Browns, final 21–7

KCKCKansas City Chiefs21CLECLECleveland Browns7

Pregame first read

KC passing attack has the stronger league profile.

KC passing attack #11/32 · CLE pass defense #21/32 · 213 offense / 159 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
KC -5.5
Model total
45.5
80% range (CLE margin)
-18.9 to +13.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CLE passing attack#30/32KC pass defense#29/32
  • CLE run game#20/32KC run defense#17/32
  • KC passing attack#11/32CLE pass defense#21/32
  • KC run game#11/32CLE run defense#19/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

KCKansas City Chiefs

CLECleveland Browns