AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 15 · Final

Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers, final 12–6

Pregame first read

SF passing attack has the stronger league profile.

SF passing attack #11/32 · LA pass defense #27/32 · 145 offense / 171 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
LA -2
Model total
49
80% range (SF margin)
-15.6 to +16.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • SF passing attack#11/32LA pass defense#27/32
  • SF run game#16/32LA run defense#30/32
  • LA passing attack#5/32SF pass defense#14/32
  • LA run game#21/32SF run defense#27/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LALos Angeles Rams

SFSan Francisco 49ers