AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 15 · Final

Pittsburgh Steelers at Philadelphia Eagles, final 13–27

PITPITPittsburgh Steelers13PHIPHIPhiladelphia Eagles27

Pregame first read

PHI run defense has the stronger league profile.

PIT run game #29/32 · PHI run defense #2/32 · 163 offense / 135 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PHI -3
Model total
47
80% range (PHI margin)
-10.7 to +21.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PHI passing attack#19/32PIT pass defense#1/32
  • PHI run game#1/32PIT run defense#27/32
  • PIT passing attack#13/32PHI pass defense#3/32
  • PIT run game#29/32PHI run defense#2/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PITPittsburgh Steelers

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles