AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 15 · Final

Washington Commanders at New Orleans Saints, final 20–19

WASWASWashington Commanders20NONONew Orleans Saints19

Pregame first read

WAS run game has the stronger league profile.

WAS run game #3/32 · NO run defense #25/32 · 155 offense / 123 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
WAS -5.5
Model total
47
80% range (NO margin)
-19.0 to +12.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • NO passing attack#12/32WAS pass defense#18/32
  • NO run game#13/32WAS run defense#18/32
  • WAS passing attack#16/32NO pass defense#9/32
  • WAS run game#3/32NO run defense#25/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

WASWashington Commanders

NONew Orleans Saints