AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 16 · Final

Arizona Cardinals at Carolina Panthers, final 30–36

ARIARIArizona Cardinals30CARCARCarolina Panthers36

Pregame first read

ARI run game has the stronger league profile.

ARI run game #11/32 · CAR run defense #32/32 · 130 offense / 167 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
ARI -7
Model total
42.5
80% range (CAR margin)
-20.9 to +11.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CAR passing attack#20/32ARI pass defense#9/32
  • CAR run game#15/32ARI run defense#21/32
  • ARI passing attack#12/32CAR pass defense#11/32
  • ARI run game#11/32CAR run defense#32/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

ARIArizona Cardinals

CARCarolina Panthers