AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 16 · Final

Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals, final 6–24

CLECLECleveland Browns6CINCINCincinnati Bengals24

Pregame first read

CIN passing attack has the stronger league profile.

CIN passing attack #10/32 · CLE pass defense #19/32 · 238 offense / 166 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CIN -5
Model total
52.5
80% range (CIN margin)
-9.2 to +22.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CIN passing attack#10/32CLE pass defense#19/32
  • CIN run game#9/32CLE run defense#16/32
  • CLE passing attack#30/32CIN pass defense#25/32
  • CLE run game#22/32CIN run defense#22/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CLECleveland Browns

CINCincinnati Bengals