AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 16 · Final

Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers, final 27–34

DENDENDenver Broncos27LACLACLos Angeles Chargers34

Pregame first read

DEN pass defense has the stronger league profile.

LAC passing attack #28/32 · DEN pass defense #1/32 · 177 offense / 239 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DEN -3
Model total
45.5
80% range (LAC margin)
-17.2 to +15.0

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • LAC passing attack#28/32DEN pass defense#1/32
  • LAC run game#22/32DEN run defense#1/32
  • DEN passing attack#10/32LAC pass defense#22/32
  • DEN run game#23/32LAC run defense#24/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DENDenver Broncos

LACLos Angeles Chargers