AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 16 · Final

Los Angeles Rams at New York Jets, final 19–9

Pregame first read

LA passing attack has the stronger league profile.

LA passing attack #5/32 · NYJ pass defense #31/32 · 152 offense / 188 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
LA -3.5
Model total
48
80% range (NYJ margin)
-17.7 to +14.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • NYJ passing attack#17/32LA pass defense#23/32
  • NYJ run game#6/32LA run defense#29/32
  • LA passing attack#5/32NYJ pass defense#31/32
  • LA run game#13/32NYJ run defense#17/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LALos Angeles Rams

NYJNew York Jets