AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 16 · Final

Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks, final 27–24

MINMINMinnesota Vikings27SEASEASeattle Seahawks24

Pregame first read

SEA run defense has the stronger league profile.

MIN run game #28/32 · SEA run defense #10/32 · 123 offense / 119 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
MIN -3
Model total
42.5
80% range (SEA margin)
-17.2 to +14.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • SEA passing attack#28/32MIN pass defense#15/32
  • SEA run game#14/32MIN run defense#11/32
  • MIN passing attack#6/32SEA pass defense#4/32
  • MIN run game#28/32SEA run defense#10/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

MINMinnesota Vikings

SEASeattle Seahawks