AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 16 · Final

New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers, final 0–34

NONONew Orleans Saints0GBGBGreen Bay Packers34

Pregame first read

GB run game has the stronger league profile.

GB run game #14/32 · NO run defense #27/32 · 149 offense / 137 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
GB -4.5
Model total
43
80% range (GB margin)
-9.0 to +22.5

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • GB passing attack#1/32NO pass defense#9/32
  • GB run game#14/32NO run defense#27/32
  • NO passing attack#16/32GB pass defense#5/32
  • NO run game#19/32GB run defense#15/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NONew Orleans Saints

GBGreen Bay Packers