AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 16 · Final

New York Giants at Atlanta Falcons, final 7–34

NYGNYGNew York Giants7ATLATLAtlanta Falcons34

Pregame first read

ATL run defense has the stronger league profile.

NYG run game #16/32 · ATL run defense #3/32 · 115 offense / 109 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
ATL -2
Model total
42
80% range (ATL margin)
-12.0 to +20.0

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • ATL passing attack#29/32NYG pass defense#29/32
  • ATL run game#20/32NYG run defense#14/32
  • NYG passing attack#32/32ATL pass defense#28/32
  • NYG run game#16/32ATL run defense#3/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NYGNew York Giants

ATLAtlanta Falcons