AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 16 · Final

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders, final 33–36

PHIPHIPhiladelphia Eagles33WASWASWashington Commanders36

Pregame first read

PHI passing attack has the stronger league profile.

PHI passing attack #8/32 · WAS pass defense #20/32 · 134 offense / 170 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PHI -3.5
Model total
47
80% range (WAS margin)
-17.5 to +14.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • WAS passing attack#24/32PHI pass defense#13/32
  • WAS run game#4/32PHI run defense#4/32
  • PHI passing attack#8/32WAS pass defense#20/32
  • PHI run game#2/32WAS run defense#7/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles

WASWashington Commanders