AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 16 · Final

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens, final 17–34

PITPITPittsburgh Steelers17BALBALBaltimore Ravens34

Pregame first read

BAL run defense has the stronger league profile.

PIT run game #30/32 · BAL run defense #10/32 · 140 offense / 118 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BAL -1.5
Model total
51
80% range (BAL margin)
-12.6 to +19.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • BAL passing attack#4/32PIT pass defense#10/32
  • BAL run game#4/32PIT run defense#22/32
  • PIT passing attack#16/32BAL pass defense#5/32
  • PIT run game#30/32BAL run defense#10/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PITPittsburgh Steelers

BALBaltimore Ravens