AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 16 · Final

Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts, final 30–38

TENTENTennessee Titans30INDINDIndianapolis Colts38

Pregame first read

IND pass defense has the stronger league profile.

TEN passing attack #25/32 · IND pass defense #8/32 · 181 offense / 179 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
IND -2.5
Model total
44.5
80% range (IND margin)
-11.7 to +20.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • IND passing attack#31/32TEN pass defense#24/32
  • IND run game#27/32TEN run defense#18/32
  • TEN passing attack#25/32IND pass defense#8/32
  • TEN run game#31/32IND run defense#24/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

TENTennessee Titans

INDIndianapolis Colts