2024 Week 17 · Final
Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams, final 9–13
Pregame first read
ARI run game has the stronger league profile.
ARI run game #8/32 · LA run defense #26/32 · 128 offense / 130 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- ARI -1
- Model total
- 45
- 80% range (LA margin)
- -15.3 to +17.0
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingKyler MurrayARI321 pass yds
- RushingMichael CarterARI70 rush yds
- ReceivingPuka NacuaLA129 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- LA passing attack#7/32ARI pass defense#18/32
- LA run game#13/32ARI run defense#27/32
- ARI passing attack#18/32LA pass defense#21/32
- ARI run game#8/32LA run defense#26/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
ARIArizona Cardinals
- Kyler MurrayQB · 15 games219pass yds/g
- James ConnerRB · 15 games72.7rush yds/g
- Trey McBrideTE · 14 games68.4rec yds/g
- Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · 15 games48.4rec yds/g
LALos Angeles Rams
- Matthew StaffordQB · 15 games238pass yds/g
- Kyren WilliamsRB · 15 games82.9rush yds/g
- Puka NacuaWR · 10 games86.1rec yds/g
- Cooper KuppWR · 11 games61.9rec yds/g