AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 17 · Final

Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans, final 31–2

BALBALBaltimore Ravens31HOUHOUHouston Texans2

Pregame first read

BAL pass defense has the stronger league profile.

HOU passing attack #20/32 · BAL pass defense #1/32 · 179 offense / 176 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BAL -3
Model total
47
80% range (HOU margin)
-16.8 to +15.0

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • HOU passing attack#20/32BAL pass defense#1/32
  • HOU run game#22/32BAL run defense#13/32
  • BAL passing attack#5/32HOU pass defense#7/32
  • BAL run game#3/32HOU run defense#4/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

BALBaltimore Ravens

HOUHouston Texans