AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 17 · Final

Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, final 14–48

CARCARCarolina Panthers14TBTBTampa Bay Buccaneers48

Pregame first read

TB run game has the stronger league profile.

TB run game #4/32 · CAR run defense #32/32 · 158 offense / 163 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
TB -5
Model total
48
80% range (TB margin)
-9.2 to +23.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • TB passing attack#7/32CAR pass defense#21/32
  • TB run game#4/32CAR run defense#32/32
  • CAR passing attack#18/32TB pass defense#5/32
  • CAR run game#7/32TB run defense#1/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CARCarolina Panthers

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers