2024 Week 17 · Final
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles, final 7–41
Pregame first read
PHI run game has the stronger league profile.
PHI run game #3/32 · DAL run defense #31/32 · 183 offense / 103 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- PHI -7
- Model total
- 47.5
- 80% range (PHI margin)
- -7.2 to +25.1
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingCooper RushDAL147 pass yds
- RushingSaquon BarkleyPHI167 rush yds
- ReceivingDeVonta SmithPHI120 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- PHI passing attack#10/32DAL pass defense#2/32
- PHI run game#3/32DAL run defense#31/32
- DAL passing attack#12/32PHI pass defense#12/32
- DAL run game#28/32PHI run defense#6/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
DALDallas Cowboys
- Dak PrescottQB · 8 games247pass yds/g
- Rico DowdleRB · 14 games64.5rush yds/g
- CeeDee LambWR · 15 games79.6rec yds/g
- Jake FergusonTE · 12 games38.7rec yds/g
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles
- Jalen HurtsQB · 15 games194pass yds/g
- Saquon BarkleyRB · 15 games123rush yds/g
- A.J. BrownWR · 12 games86.9rec yds/g
- DeVonta SmithWR · 12 games59.4rec yds/g