AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 17 · Final

Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals, final 24–30

DENDENDenver Broncos24CINCINCincinnati Bengals30

Pregame first read

DEN pass defense has the stronger league profile.

CIN passing attack #12/32 · DEN pass defense #4/32 · 212 offense / 227 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DEN -1.5
Model total
54
80% range (CIN margin)
-15.7 to +16.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CIN passing attack#12/32DEN pass defense#4/32
  • CIN run game#4/32DEN run defense#2/32
  • DEN passing attack#10/32CIN pass defense#8/32
  • DEN run game#16/32CIN run defense#22/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DENDenver Broncos

CINCincinnati Bengals