AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 17 · Final

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings, final 25–27

GBGBGreen Bay Packers25MINMINMinnesota Vikings27

Pregame first read

GB run defense has the stronger league profile.

MIN run game #22/32 · GB run defense #2/32 · 112 offense / 99 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
GB -1
Model total
45
80% range (MIN margin)
-15.1 to +17.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • MIN passing attack#5/32GB pass defense#3/32
  • MIN run game#22/32GB run defense#2/32
  • GB passing attack#3/32MIN pass defense#11/32
  • GB run game#9/32MIN run defense#22/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

GBGreen Bay Packers

MINMinnesota Vikings