2024 Week 17 · Final
Indianapolis Colts at New York Giants, final 33–45
Pregame first read
IND pass defense has the stronger league profile.
NYG passing attack #32/32 · IND pass defense #14/32 · 207 offense / 176 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- IND -3
- Model total
- 44
- 80% range (NYG margin)
- -17.4 to +14.9
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJoe FlaccoIND330 pass yds
- RushingJonathan TaylorIND125 rush yds
- ReceivingMalik NabersNYG171 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NYG passing attack#32/32IND pass defense#14/32
- NYG run game#21/32IND run defense#18/32
- IND passing attack#27/32NYG pass defense#32/32
- IND run game#17/32NYG run defense#12/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
INDIndianapolis Colts
- Joe FlaccoQB · 5 games233pass yds/g
- Jonathan TaylorRB · 12 games94.1rush yds/g
- Josh DownsWR · 12 games57.3rec yds/g
- Alec PierceWR · 14 games46.1rec yds/g
NYGNew York Giants
- Daniel JonesQB · 10 games207pass yds/g
- Tyrone Tracy Jr.RB · 15 games48.1rush yds/g
- Malik NabersWR · 13 games74.5rec yds/g
- Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · 15 games39rec yds/g