AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 17 · Final

Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers, final 29–10

KCKCKansas City Chiefs29PITPITPittsburgh Steelers10

Pregame first read

KC run defense has the stronger league profile.

PIT run game #29/32 · KC run defense #14/32 · 132 offense / 108 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
KC -2
Model total
45.5
80% range (PIT margin)
-15.8 to +16.0

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PIT passing attack#16/32KC pass defense#12/32
  • PIT run game#29/32KC run defense#14/32
  • KC passing attack#14/32PIT pass defense#20/32
  • KC run game#10/32PIT run defense#20/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

KCKansas City Chiefs

PITPittsburgh Steelers