AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 17 · Final

Las Vegas Raiders at New Orleans Saints, final 25–10

LVLVLas Vegas Raiders25NONONew Orleans Saints10

Pregame first read

NO pass defense has the stronger league profile.

LV passing attack #26/32 · NO pass defense #13/32 · 216 offense / 197 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
NO -2
Model total
40.5
80% range (NO margin)
-12.2 to +20.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • NO passing attack#23/32LV pass defense#10/32
  • NO run game#14/32LV run defense#4/32
  • LV passing attack#26/32NO pass defense#13/32
  • LV run game#29/32NO run defense#29/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LVLas Vegas Raiders

NONew Orleans Saints