AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 17 · Final

Seattle Seahawks at Chicago Bears, final 6–3

SEASEASeattle Seahawks6CHICHIChicago Bears3

Pregame first read

SEA run defense has the stronger league profile.

CHI run game #29/32 · SEA run defense #4/32 · 103 offense / 113 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
SEA -5.5
Model total
42.5
80% range (CHI margin)
-19.5 to +12.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CHI passing attack#19/32SEA pass defense#8/32
  • CHI run game#29/32SEA run defense#4/32
  • SEA passing attack#24/32CHI pass defense#31/32
  • SEA run game#11/32CHI run defense#23/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

SEASeattle Seahawks

CHIChicago Bears