AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 17 · Final

Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars, final 13–20

TENTENTennessee Titans13JAXJAXJacksonville Jaguars20

Pregame first read

TEN passing attack has the stronger league profile.

TEN passing attack #21/32 · JAX pass defense #29/32 · 181 offense / 176 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
TEN -1
Model total
45
80% range (JAX margin)
-15.1 to +17.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • JAX passing attack#19/32TEN pass defense#24/32
  • JAX run game#26/32TEN run defense#28/32
  • TEN passing attack#21/32JAX pass defense#29/32
  • TEN run game#27/32JAX run defense#26/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

TENTennessee Titans

JAXJacksonville Jaguars