AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 18 · Final

Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons, final 44–38

CARCARCarolina Panthers44ATLATLAtlanta Falcons38

Pregame first read

ATL run game has the stronger league profile.

ATL run game #14/32 · CAR run defense #32/32 · 166 offense / 174 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
ATL -1.5
Model total
46
80% range (ATL margin)
-12.7 to +19.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • ATL passing attack#24/32CAR pass defense#23/32
  • ATL run game#14/32CAR run defense#32/32
  • CAR passing attack#21/32ATL pass defense#8/32
  • CAR run game#12/32ATL run defense#19/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CARCarolina Panthers

ATLAtlanta Falcons