2024 Week 18 · Final
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers, final 19–17
Pregame first read
CIN passing attack has the stronger league profile.
CIN passing attack #10/32 · PIT pass defense #26/32 · 215 offense / 184 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- CIN -5
- Model total
- 53.5
- 80% range (PIT margin)
- -19.1 to +13.6
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJoe BurrowCIN277 pass yds
- RushingKhalil HerbertCIN69 rush yds
- ReceivingJa'Marr ChaseCIN96 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- PIT passing attack#26/32CIN pass defense#13/32
- PIT run game#17/32CIN run defense#23/32
- CIN passing attack#10/32PIT pass defense#26/32
- CIN run game#8/32PIT run defense#17/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
CINCincinnati Bengals
- Joe BurrowQB · 16 games290pass yds/g
- Chase BrownRB · 16 games61.9rush yds/g
- Ja'Marr ChaseWR · 16 games101rec yds/g
- Tee HigginsWR · 11 games78rec yds/g
PITPittsburgh Steelers
- Russell WilsonQB · 10 games233pass yds/g
- Najee HarrisRB · 16 games62.9rush yds/g
- George PickensWR · 13 games69.2rec yds/g
- Pat FreiermuthTE · 16 games35.5rec yds/g