AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 18 · Final

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens, final 10–35

CLECLECleveland Browns10BALBALBaltimore Ravens35

Pregame first read

BAL pass defense has the stronger league profile.

CLE passing attack #32/32 · BAL pass defense #1/32 · 232 offense / 173 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BAL -12.5
Model total
44
80% range (BAL margin)
-1.6 to +31.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • BAL passing attack#2/32CLE pass defense#20/32
  • BAL run game#3/32CLE run defense#9/32
  • CLE passing attack#32/32BAL pass defense#1/32
  • CLE run game#25/32BAL run defense#14/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CLECleveland Browns

BALBaltimore Ravens