AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 18 · Final

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans, final 23–14

HOUHOUHouston Texans23TENTENTennessee Titans14

Pregame first read

HOU passing attack has the stronger league profile.

HOU passing attack #27/32 · TEN pass defense #29/32 · 181 offense / 137 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
HOU -3
Model total
45
80% range (TEN margin)
-17.3 to +15.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • TEN passing attack#22/32HOU pass defense#21/32
  • TEN run game#22/32HOU run defense#21/32
  • HOU passing attack#27/32TEN pass defense#29/32
  • HOU run game#30/32TEN run defense#31/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

HOUHouston Texans

TENTennessee Titans