AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 18 · Final

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos, final 0–38

KCKCKansas City Chiefs0DENDENDenver Broncos38

Pregame first read

DEN run defense has the stronger league profile.

KC run game #20/32 · DEN run defense #3/32 · 117 offense / 124 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
KC -1
Model total
45.5
80% range (DEN margin)
-15.3 to +17.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DEN passing attack#15/32KC pass defense#4/32
  • DEN run game#16/32KC run defense#20/32
  • KC passing attack#12/32DEN pass defense#9/32
  • KC run game#20/32DEN run defense#3/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

KCKansas City Chiefs

DENDenver Broncos