2024 Week 18 · Final
Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders, final 34–20
Pregame first read
LAC run defense has the stronger league profile.
LV run game #29/32 · LAC run defense #11/32 · 131 offense / 140 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- LAC -4.5
- Model total
- 45.5
- 80% range (LV margin)
- -18.8 to +13.7
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJustin HerbertLAC346 pass yds
- RushingJ.K. DobbinsLAC63 rush yds
- ReceivingQuentin JohnstonLAC186 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- LV passing attack#19/32LAC pass defense#11/32
- LV run game#29/32LAC run defense#11/32
- LAC passing attack#14/32LV pass defense#2/32
- LAC run game#18/32LV run defense#12/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
LACLos Angeles Chargers
- Justin HerbertQB · 16 games220pass yds/g
- J.K. DobbinsRB · 12 games70.2rush yds/g
- Ladd McConkeyWR · 15 games70.3rec yds/g
- Josh PalmerWR · 15 games38.9rec yds/g
LVLas Vegas Raiders
- Gardner MinshewQB · 10 games201pass yds/g
- Sincere McCormickRB · 4 games45.8rush yds/g
- Brock BowersTE · 16 games71.5rec yds/g
- Davante AdamsWR · 3 games69.7rec yds/g