AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 18 · Final

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions, final 9–31

MINMINMinnesota Vikings9DETDETDetroit Lions31

Pregame first read

MIN passing attack has the stronger league profile.

MIN passing attack #5/32 · DET pass defense #32/32 · 192 offense / 182 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DET -1.5
Model total
51.5
80% range (DET margin)
-12.5 to +20.0

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DET passing attack#2/32MIN pass defense#13/32
  • DET run game#10/32MIN run defense#22/32
  • MIN passing attack#5/32DET pass defense#32/32
  • MIN run game#21/32DET run defense#27/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

MINMinnesota Vikings

DETDetroit Lions