AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 18 · Final

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles, final 13–20

NYGNYGNew York Giants13PHIPHIPhiladelphia Eagles20

Pregame first read

PHI pass defense has the stronger league profile.

NYG passing attack #29/32 · PHI pass defense #5/32 · 194 offense / 167 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PHI -11.5
Model total
46.5
80% range (PHI margin)
-2.6 to +30.0

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PHI passing attack#7/32NYG pass defense#28/32
  • PHI run game#5/32NYG run defense#9/32
  • NYG passing attack#29/32PHI pass defense#5/32
  • NYG run game#23/32PHI run defense#7/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NYGNew York Giants

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles