AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 18 · Final

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals, final 24–47

SFSFSan Francisco 49ers24ARIARIArizona Cardinals47

Pregame first read

ARI run game has the stronger league profile.

ARI run game #6/32 · SF run defense #28/32 · 136 offense / 153 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
ARI -5
Model total
43
80% range (ARI margin)
-9.4 to +23.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • ARI passing attack#16/32SF pass defense#22/32
  • ARI run game#6/32SF run defense#28/32
  • SF passing attack#10/32ARI pass defense#18/32
  • SF run game#17/32ARI run defense#29/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

SFSan Francisco 49ers

ARIArizona Cardinals