AUGRISOpen research

2024 Postseason week 19 · Final

Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles, final 10–22

GBGBGreen Bay Packers10PHIPHIPhiladelphia Eagles22

Pregame first read

PHI pass defense has the stronger league profile.

GB passing attack #12/32 · PHI pass defense #2/32 · 141 offense / 157 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PK
Model total
46.5
80% range (PHI margin)
-13.6 to +19.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PHI passing attack#5/32GB pass defense#4/32
  • PHI run game#14/32GB run defense#5/32
  • GB passing attack#12/32PHI pass defense#2/32
  • GB run game#11/32PHI run defense#7/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

GBGreen Bay Packers

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles