AUGRISOpen research

2024 Postseason week 19 · Final

Los Angeles Chargers at Houston Texans, final 12–32

LACLACLos Angeles Chargers12HOUHOUHouston Texans32

Pregame first read

LAC passing attack has the stronger league profile.

LAC passing attack #6/32 · HOU pass defense #23/32 · 181 offense / 176 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
LAC -2
Model total
46.5
80% range (HOU margin)
-15.9 to +16.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • HOU passing attack#28/32LAC pass defense#13/32
  • HOU run game#20/32LAC run defense#12/32
  • LAC passing attack#6/32HOU pass defense#23/32
  • LAC run game#14/32HOU run defense#8/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LACLos Angeles Chargers

HOUHouston Texans