2024 Postseason week 19 · Final
Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Rams, final 9–27
Pregame first read
MIN passing attack has the stronger league profile.
MIN passing attack #10/32 · LA pass defense #22/32 · 199 offense / 196 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- MIN -1.5
- Model total
- 46
- 80% range (LA margin)
- -15.1 to +17.7
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingSam DarnoldMIN245 pass yds
- RushingKyren WilliamsLA76 rush yds
- ReceivingT.J. HockensonMIN64 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- LA passing attack#7/32MIN pass defense#9/32
- LA run game#17/32MIN run defense#17/32
- MIN passing attack#10/32LA pass defense#22/32
- MIN run game#21/32LA run defense#18/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
MINMinnesota Vikings
- Sam DarnoldQB · 17 games254pass yds/g
- Aaron JonesRB · 17 games66.9rush yds/g
- Justin JeffersonWR · 17 games90.2rec yds/g
- Jordan AddisonWR · 15 games58.3rec yds/g
LALos Angeles Rams
- Matthew StaffordQB · 16 games235pass yds/g
- Kyren WilliamsRB · 16 games81.2rush yds/g
- Puka NacuaWR · 11 games90rec yds/g
- Cooper KuppWR · 12 games59.2rec yds/g