AUGRISOpen research

2024 Postseason week 19 · Final

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens, final 14–28

PITPITPittsburgh Steelers14BALBALBaltimore Ravens28

Pregame first read

BAL pass defense has the stronger league profile.

PIT passing attack #31/32 · BAL pass defense #1/32 · 163 offense / 169 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BAL -8
Model total
46.5
80% range (BAL margin)
-5.8 to +26.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • BAL passing attack#4/32PIT pass defense#29/32
  • BAL run game#3/32PIT run defense#14/32
  • PIT passing attack#31/32BAL pass defense#1/32
  • PIT run game#24/32BAL run defense#6/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PITPittsburgh Steelers

BALBaltimore Ravens