AUGRISOpen research

2024 Postseason week 20 · Final

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills, final 25–27

BALBALBaltimore Ravens25BUFBUFBuffalo Bills27

Pregame first read

BAL passing attack has the stronger league profile.

BAL passing attack #1/32 · BUF pass defense #21/32 · 122 offense / 192 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BAL -1.5
Model total
50
80% range (BUF margin)
-15.3 to +17.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • BUF passing attack#3/32BAL pass defense#1/32
  • BUF run game#7/32BAL run defense#1/32
  • BAL passing attack#1/32BUF pass defense#21/32
  • BAL run game#1/32BUF run defense#3/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

BALBaltimore Ravens

BUFBuffalo Bills