AUGRISOpen research

2024 Postseason week 20 · Final

Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles, final 22–28

Pregame first read

PHI pass defense has the stronger league profile.

LA passing attack #20/32 · PHI pass defense #2/32 · 152 offense / 157 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PHI -4
Model total
43.5
80% range (PHI margin)
-9.7 to +23.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PHI passing attack#5/32LA pass defense#5/32
  • PHI run game#21/32LA run defense#12/32
  • LA passing attack#20/32PHI pass defense#2/32
  • LA run game#19/32PHI run defense#6/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LALos Angeles Rams

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles