2024 Postseason week 20 · Final
Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles, final 22–28
Pregame first read
PHI pass defense has the stronger league profile.
LA passing attack #20/32 · PHI pass defense #2/32 · 152 offense / 157 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- PHI -4
- Model total
- 43.5
- 80% range (PHI margin)
- -9.7 to +23.4
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingMatthew StaffordLA324 pass yds
- RushingSaquon BarkleyPHI205 rush yds
- ReceivingPuka NacuaLA97 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- PHI passing attack#5/32LA pass defense#5/32
- PHI run game#21/32LA run defense#12/32
- LA passing attack#20/32PHI pass defense#2/32
- LA run game#19/32PHI run defense#6/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
LALos Angeles Rams
- Matthew StaffordQB · 16 games235pass yds/g
- Kyren WilliamsRB · 16 games81.2rush yds/g
- Puka NacuaWR · 11 games90rec yds/g
- Cooper KuppWR · 12 games59.2rec yds/g
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles
- Jalen HurtsQB · 15 games194pass yds/g
- Saquon BarkleyRB · 16 games125rush yds/g
- A.J. BrownWR · 13 games83rec yds/g
- DeVonta SmithWR · 13 games64.1rec yds/g