AUGRISOpen research

2024 Postseason week 21 · Final

Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles, final 23–55

WASWASWashington Commanders23PHIPHIPhiladelphia Eagles55

Pregame first read

PHI run game has the stronger league profile.

PHI run game #8/32 · WAS run defense #25/32 · 169 offense / 149 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PHI -2
Model total
50
80% range (PHI margin)
-11.6 to +21.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PHI passing attack#10/32WAS pass defense#10/32
  • PHI run game#8/32WAS run defense#25/32
  • WAS passing attack#5/32PHI pass defense#3/32
  • WAS run game#7/32PHI run defense#3/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

WASWashington Commanders

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles