AUGRISOpen research

2024 Postseason week 22 · Final

Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles, final 22–40

KCKCKansas City Chiefs22PHIPHIPhiladelphia Eagles40

Pregame first read

PHI run game has the stronger league profile.

PHI run game #7/32 · KC run defense #31/32 · 165 offense / 151 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PHI -5.5
Model total
44.5
80% range (PHI margin)
-8.2 to +24.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PHI passing attack#5/32KC pass defense#21/32
  • PHI run game#7/32KC run defense#31/32
  • KC passing attack#6/32PHI pass defense#3/32
  • KC run game#20/32PHI run defense#8/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

KCKansas City Chiefs

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles