AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 4 · Final

Denver Broncos at New York Jets, final 10–9

Pregame first read

NYJ pass defense has the stronger league profile.

DEN passing attack #25/32 · NYJ pass defense #9/32 · 117 offense / 97 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The game estimate is withheld until both teams have enough pregame history.

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • NYJ passing attack#4/32DEN pass defense#3/32
  • NYJ run game#21/32DEN run defense#11/32
  • DEN passing attack#25/32NYJ pass defense#9/32
  • DEN run game#20/32NYJ run defense#20/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DENDenver Broncos

NYJNew York Jets