AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 4 · Final

Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans, final 20–24

JAXJAXJacksonville Jaguars20HOUHOUHouston Texans24

Pregame first read

HOU pass defense has the stronger league profile.

JAX passing attack #29/32 · HOU pass defense #8/32 · 108 offense / 97 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The game estimate is withheld until both teams have enough pregame history.

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • HOU passing attack#15/32JAX pass defense#30/32
  • HOU run game#30/32JAX run defense#22/32
  • JAX passing attack#29/32HOU pass defense#8/32
  • JAX run game#9/32HOU run defense#27/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

JAXJacksonville Jaguars

HOUHouston Texans