AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 4 · Final

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers, final 31–29

Pregame first read

MIN run defense has the stronger league profile.

GB run game #13/32 · MIN run defense #3/32 · 112 offense / 60 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The game estimate is withheld until both teams have enough pregame history.

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • GB passing attack#5/32MIN pass defense#7/32
  • GB run game#13/32MIN run defense#3/32
  • MIN passing attack#12/32GB pass defense#11/32
  • MIN run game#7/32GB run defense#9/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

MINMinnesota Vikings

GBGreen Bay Packers