AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 4 · Final

New England Patriots at San Francisco 49ers, final 13–30

Pregame first read

SF passing attack has the stronger league profile.

SF passing attack #6/32 · NE pass defense #28/32 · 105 offense / 115 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The game estimate is withheld until both teams have enough pregame history.

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • SF passing attack#6/32NE pass defense#28/32
  • SF run game#22/32NE run defense#10/32
  • NE passing attack#24/32SF pass defense#15/32
  • NE run game#12/32SF run defense#26/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NENew England Patriots

SFSan Francisco 49ers