AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 4 · Final

New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons, final 24–26

NONONew Orleans Saints24ATLATLAtlanta Falcons26

Pregame first read

NO run defense has the stronger league profile.

ATL run game #31/32 · NO run defense #14/32 · 72 offense / 64 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The game estimate is withheld until both teams have enough pregame history.

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • ATL passing attack#16/32NO pass defense#5/32
  • ATL run game#31/32NO run defense#14/32
  • NO passing attack#2/32ATL pass defense#18/32
  • NO run game#11/32ATL run defense#25/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NONew Orleans Saints

ATLAtlanta Falcons