AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 4 · Final

Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, final 16–33

Pregame first read

PHI run game has the stronger league profile.

PHI run game #10/32 · TB run defense #32/32 · 98 offense / 83 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The game estimate is withheld until both teams have enough pregame history.

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • TB passing attack#21/32PHI pass defense#26/32
  • TB run game#23/32PHI run defense#12/32
  • PHI passing attack#11/32TB pass defense#12/32
  • PHI run game#10/32TB run defense#32/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers