AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 4 · Final

Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts, final 24–27

PITPITPittsburgh Steelers24INDINDIndianapolis Colts27

Pregame first read

PIT pass defense has the stronger league profile.

IND passing attack #28/32 · PIT pass defense #6/32 · 76 offense / 89 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The game estimate is withheld until both teams have enough pregame history.

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • IND passing attack#28/32PIT pass defense#6/32
  • IND run game#5/32PIT run defense#2/32
  • PIT passing attack#8/32IND pass defense#24/32
  • PIT run game#26/32IND run defense#7/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PITPittsburgh Steelers

INDIndianapolis Colts