AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 5 · Final

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers, final 24–23

ARIARIArizona Cardinals24SFSFSan Francisco 49ers23

Pregame first read

SF passing attack has the stronger league profile.

SF passing attack #4/32 · ARI pass defense #27/32 · 133 offense / 113 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model range is based on past scoring errors; current availability is unverified.

Model spread
SF -4
Model total
48.5
80% range (SF margin)
+13.5 to +13.5

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • SF passing attack#4/32ARI pass defense#27/32
  • SF run game#21/32ARI run defense#27/32
  • ARI passing attack#14/32SF pass defense#9/32
  • ARI run game#12/32SF run defense#10/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

ARIArizona Cardinals

SFSan Francisco 49ers